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Posted Feb. 1, 2008


Time for Dulles Rail is Now, But Without More Tolls
The stalling last week of federal support for the project to bring rail to Dulles Airport highlighted a number of shortcomings in the rail proposal, in state transportation planning and in federal budget priorities. But most importantly it illustrated how easy it is to be shortsighted about the project.
Since the rail project has come to life in the past few years, the price tag has escalated pretty dramatically, and today most everyone considers it to be a $5 billion endeavor. But here's the thing about that $5 billion: It's not going to get any cheaper.
The nature of large public infrastructure investments such as these is that the price tag rises as the economy grows. In the same way that your home continues to gain value, so do the costs of everything related to construction of the rail. Nails cost more, land costs increase, labor prices rise, insurance costs go up, gasoline becomes more expensive, electricity prices go higher, etc.
The price tag is hefty, and seems to be going up on a regular basis. But our local chambers of commerce are correct that a rail line to Dulles would be an economic engine that would fuel growth from Tysons Corner to Leesburg over the next 50 years and beyond. Not only would a Metro line make it easier for more people to come here from around the Washington, D.C., area, it would attract more corporate employers and development. A Metro line would encourage more of the hundreds of thousands of tourists and business travelers passing through Dulles Airport each year to stay in this area overnight, and patronize our local establishments, because they will be able to get to wherever they want to go along the rail line.
The detractors of extending Metro to Dulles say the price tag is too high, that we can spend a lot less money making basic transportation improvements—such as improving bus service and adding more traffic lanes to the Dulles Toll Road—that will provide quicker and more effective relief to traffic congestion.
And they are right. Adding highway lanes and widening roads is a lot cheaper than building rail. Adding buses is effective and relatively cheap. But those investments won't get you where you want to be in 50 years. The population of our communities will continue to increase. Traffic on the Dulles Toll Road, and all roads in Northern Virginia, will continue to get worse.
If we added a new lane to the Dulles Toll Road every five years for the next 50 years, we would still have congestion during rush hours—and we'd have a highway that was wider than the Potomac. Given the economic development that will come over the next few decades, traffic can only increase.
The question is whether you prepare today for the level of traffic we anticipate to have in 50 years by spending $5 billion, or whether you put the project off for another 10, 20, 30 years, and pay $15 billion or more to eventually bring rail out to Dulles. The benefits provided by a rail extension to Dulles Airport are clear to me and to many others. But the Federal Transit Administration's negative assessment of the project last week brought up several elements of the plan that need to be addressed if Virginia is going to capture the advantage of the rail extension and get ahead of future traffic growth.
 
No More Tolls
First, the funding plan for the rail extension highlights Virginia's consistent inability to pay for its own transportation infrastructure. Del. Tom Rust (R-86th) powered a complicated transportation funding bill through the General Assembly last year, but he had to do so without directly raising taxes or putting any burden on taxpayers statewide.
Construction of the Dulles Toll Road was paid for by tolls because the state could not or would not even pay for the road itself. Today, the Dulles corridor is one of the leading economies in the state, and Virginia still can't bring itself to fund necessary transportation improvements to keep the engine running smoothly.
If Virginia had its priorities straight, the state would be paying for 50 percent of the rail project, the federal government would be expected to pony up 40 percent, and Fairfax County would be contributing 10 percent—none of it through tolls.
In the current financing plan, Fairfax County is responsible for putting up just as much money for the rail project as the entire state. If Virginia had a proper transportation planning system, it would have recognized the direction Northern Virginia needs were heading in and begun planning for investment 20 years ago.
In the immediate aftermath of the federal government's comments last week, some rail supporters suggested that private industry might be able to step in and put up the money that was expected from the federal government. We have only to look at the Dulles Greenway to know that would be a disaster.
The Dulles Greenway was built by private investors, again because Virginia would not put up the funds to build the road. A few years later … surprise! Tolls started to go up. Recently, the owners of the road received permission from the state to increase the tolls to as much as $4.80 each direction in the coming years.
Turning the Dulles Toll Road over to profiteers would shift the cost of building rail to Dulles onto the backs of the toll road users, and it would be another way for Virginia to skip out on the bill of a major and necessary public infrastructure improvement.
 
Fund Metro
One of the objections the FTA brought up last week was that the current Metro system is under-funded and would have a hard time adding a new line to its system. Recent reports have show that Metro needs $150 million in improvements just to keep some of its stations from falling apart and to keep the electricity moving to all the cars it needs.
This is a problem. But it should not be a consideration for whether rail to Dulles should be funded or not. Metro will never have fewer passengers than it has now. It will never have fewer stations than it has now. It will never need fewer cars than it has now. Its electric bill is never going to be cheaper than it is now.
If Metro's budget is out of whack, fix it. Today it's rail to Dulles. Ten years from now it'll be extending rail down the I-95 corridor, or adding a Virginia line from Route 7 to Route 1, or adding another rail line in Maryland. Metro has to have funds to maintain its infrastructure and grow. If anybody ever thought differently, then the system never should have been built in the first place.
As for timing, the Dulles rail Silver Line is not planned to be operational for at least five years from the start of construction. That gives federal transit administrators and the U.S. Congress plenty of time to develop a budget for Metro that works, for its existing needs and its growing needs.
 
Get to the Airport
Finally, the federal government should get its own priorities in order and embrace the idea of building rail to Dulles Airport. When the airport was built in the early 1960s, it was considered a "white elephant," an airport built way out in the country by influential politicians who were catering to voters.
Today, Dulles Airport is one of the major cargo centers along the eastern seaboard. It is an economic engine not just for Northern Virginia, but also for the entire Washington, D.C., region. And it helps bring millions of tourists to the nation's capital each year.
Paying $900 million and guaranteeing some loans to have a public rail line serving Dulles Airport is a bargain for the federal government, and they should jump at the chance.
What is clear is that a rail line will be essential to the Dulles corridor looking ahead over the next half-century, and postponing it will only increase the cost and delay the public from taking advantage of the benefits rail would bring.
Even so, planners should not develop a knee-jerk reaction, such as turning the project over to private investors or putting a greater burden upon toll road users, simply to get the rail line built sooner rather than later.

 

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